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Music Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 87 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 87 live Music markets with $130.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is VMA Best Latin 2026 (Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%), followed by VMA Best Dance 2026 (Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 43.5%), Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? (Yes 12.5%).

Music: charts, album releases and music awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Music markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
VMA Best Latin 2026Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%-0.5 pts$19.9KSep 28, 2026
VMA Best Dance 2026Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 43.5%+1.0 pts$13.4KSep 28, 2026
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes 12.5%+3.2 pts$12.8KNov 1, 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54.5%+2.0 pts$10.3KSep 28, 2026
VMA Best Alternative 2026The Cure (Olivia Rodrigo) 69%+14.5 pts$7.1KSep 28, 2026
Taylor Swift pregnant?By December 31, 2026 11.5%+0.5 pts$6.9KJan 1, 2027
Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales?50-60k 39.1%+31.6 pts$6.5KSep 26, 2026
VMA Artist of the Year 2026Taylor Swift 48%+2.5 pts$3.9KSep 28, 2026
Eurovision 2027 ParticipantsItaly 96.5%—$3.5KJun 1, 2027
Top Spotify Song 2026End of Beginning – Djo 63.3%-7.3 pts$3.4KFeb 1, 2027
VMA Best Collaboration 2026Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress) 55%+11.0 pts$3.0KSep 28, 2026
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 25)Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 97.3%+9.8 pts$2.6KSep 25, 2026
CMA Musician of the Year 2026Paul Franklin 47%+16.0 pts$2.6KNov 19, 2026
CMA Music Video of the Year 2026Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 49%+5.0 pts$2.5KNov 19, 2026
#2 Spotify Song 2026Babydoll – Dominic Fike 66.5%—$2.4KFeb 1, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 3Boston - Stella Lefty 98.9%+1.8 pts$2.0KSep 29, 2026
#2 Spotify song this week? (September 25)Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA 96.8%+15.3 pts$2.0KSep 25, 2026
Billboard #1 Artist 2026Morgan Wallen 77.4%-6.9 pts$2.0KApr 1, 2027
VMA Best R&B 2026I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 59.5%+3.0 pts$1.9KSep 28, 2026
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Kodak Black 87%—$1.8KNov 27, 2026
CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen) 43.5%—$1.6KNov 19, 2026
CMA Male Vocalist of the Year 2026Cody Johnson 47.5%+8.0 pts$1.5KNov 19, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026Bad Bunny 85.5%—$1.5KFeb 1, 2027
VMA Best Pop 2026The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 61%-0.5 pts$1.3KSep 28, 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026Earrings – Malcom Todd 91.5%-0.5 pts$1.2KFeb 1, 2027
VMA Best Country 2026Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 84.5%—$1.2KSep 28, 2026
VMA Best Visual Effects 2026Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 41.5%-5.0 pts$1.2KSep 28, 2026
'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?25k+ 85%+12.0 pts$1.1KDec 31, 2026
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 25)Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA 96.9%+3.9 pts$1.0KSep 25, 2026
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?Max Martin 13.4%-4.2 pts$779Jan 1, 2027
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?Mariah Carey 98.6%—$716Jan 2, 2027
#3 Spotify Artist 2026Taylor Swift 79%+0.5 pts$711Feb 1, 2027
#2 Spotify Artist 2026Drake 81.5%—$711Feb 1, 2027
Top US Spotify Song 2026Choosin Texas – Ella Langley 94.2%-0.8 pts$702Feb 1, 2027
CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026Ella Langley 76.5%+2.0 pts$680Nov 19, 2026
CMA Album of the Year 2026Dandelion (Ella Langley) 55.5%+1.0 pts$519Nov 19, 2026
Top US Spotify Artist 2026Drake 84.5%-1.0 pts$482Feb 1, 2027
CMA Vocal Duo of the Year 2026Brooks & Dunn 66%-4.5 pts$446Nov 19, 2026
CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026The Red Clay Strays 78.5%+5.5 pts$436Nov 19, 2026
#1 Spotify song this week? (September 25)BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky 99.8%+0.3 pts$389Sep 25, 2026

47 smaller markets are not shown; all 87 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Music odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 87 live Music markets with $130.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is VMA Best Latin 2026 (Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5%), followed by VMA Best Dance 2026 (Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 43.5%), Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? (Yes 12.5%).

How many Music markets are open on Polymarket?

87 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/music.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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