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Music Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 79 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 79 live Music markets with $80.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is "FRESH" First Week Album Sales? (60k+ 94.7%), followed by #2 Spotify Song 2026 (Babydoll – Dominic Fike 79%), Eurovision Asia Winner 2026 (Malaysia 54%).

Music: charts, album releases and music awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Music markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
"FRESH" First Week Album Sales?60k+ 94.7%+20.2 pts$13.4KNov 13, 2026
#2 Spotify Song 2026Babydoll – Dominic Fike 79%-6.5 pts$9.4KFeb 1, 2027
Eurovision Asia Winner 2026Malaysia 54%+1.0 pts$8.8KNov 15, 2026
Top Spotify Song 2026End of Beginning – Djo 87.5%+1.1 pts$6.6KFeb 1, 2027
Eurovision Asia 2026: Top 3Malaysia 80.5%—$4.8KNov 15, 2026
Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Jay Z 96%+0.4 pts$4.7KFeb 15, 2027
Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury WinnerMalaysia 65%+16.5 pts$4.7KNov 15, 2026
#2 Spotify Artist in November?The Weeknd 75.5%+13.5 pts$4.6KNov 30, 2026
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 14You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo 63%+12.5 pts$3.8KNov 11, 2026
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Kodak Black 89.5%-1.0 pts$2.6KNov 27, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026Bad Bunny 94%+2.0 pts$2.2KFeb 1, 2027
Billboard #1 Artist 2026Morgan Wallen 76.8%+3.1 pts$1.6KApr 1, 2027
#2 Spotify Artist 2026Drake 88.5%+5.0 pts$1.5KFeb 1, 2027
'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?50k+ 97.2%+4.2 pts$1.1KJan 1, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 14Thriller - Michael Jackson 48.5%-0.9 pts$1000Nov 11, 2026
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist WinnerElla Langley 66%—$939Jul 1, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 21FRESH - Lil Baby 99.3%—$852Nov 17, 2026
CMA New Artist of the Year 2026Tucker Wetmore 52%+8.0 pts$757Nov 19, 2026
Who will headline Coachella 2027?Dua Lipa 65.5%+3.0 pts$605Feb 1, 2027
Top US Spotify Artist 2026Drake 84.5%-3.5 pts$596Feb 1, 2027
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (November 13)Housewife - Tate McRae 49.5%—$595Nov 13, 2026
Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote WinnerMalaysia 37%+4.5 pts$592Nov 15, 2026
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?The Weekend 31%—$488Jan 2, 2027
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?Mariah Carey 88.1%-5.3 pts$463Jan 2, 2027
Eurovision Asia 3rd Place 2026Thailand 21.5%+7.0 pts$461Nov 15, 2026
CMA Single of the Year 2026Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 83%-5.5 pts$346Nov 19, 2026
Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in November?↑14.5M 52.5%+19.0 pts$340Dec 1, 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026Man I Need – Olivia Dean 59.7%+2.8 pts$338Feb 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winneryou seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 46.5%-3.0 pts$272Jul 1, 2027
#1 Spotify song this week? (November 13)Housewife - Tate McRae 81%—$270Nov 13, 2026
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?Yes 25%-4.5 pts$264Jan 1, 2027
Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?Pepas 67.5%—$245Dec 4, 2026
#2 Spotify song this week? (November 13)BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky 77%—$210Nov 13, 2026
Eurovision Asia 2nd Place 2026Philippines 25.5%+2.5 pts$198Nov 15, 2026
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (November 13)Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 48%—$144Nov 13, 2026
CMA Album of the Year 2026Dandelion (Ella Langley) 82%+4.0 pts$143Nov 19, 2026
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 21Boston - Stella Lefty 25.4%—$127Nov 17, 2026
Taylor Swift pregnant?By December 31, 2026 17%+6.0 pts$100Jan 1, 2027
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?Nicki Minaj 40.4%+1.5 pts$81Jan 2, 2027
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album WinnerDon't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky 35.5%—$80Jul 1, 2027

39 smaller markets are not shown; all 79 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big Music markets move — free Telegram watchlist

People in these markets

Bruno Mars · Olivia Rodrigo · Nicki Minaj · Justin Bieber · Bad Bunny · Taylor Swift · Billie Eilish · Kendrick Lamar · Frank Ocean · Morgan Wallen · Sabrina Carpenter · Chappell Roan · Kanye West

More Culture & Entertainment odds

Movies & Box Office (98) · Awards (113) · Celebrities & Creators (85) · Pop Culture (98)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Music odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 79 live Music markets with $80.6K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is "FRESH" First Week Album Sales? (60k+ 94.7%), followed by #2 Spotify Song 2026 (Babydoll – Dominic Fike 79%), Eurovision Asia Winner 2026 (Malaysia 54%).

How many Music markets are open on Polymarket?

79 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/music.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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Polymarket View, “Music odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/music/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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