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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price $1,000 at 11.5% ($3,000 88.5%), with $107.1K traded in total and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 11.5% | -1.5 pts | $107.1K |
| $3,000 | 88.5% | +1.5 pts | — |
Total volume $107.1K · 24h volume $1.5K · Liquidity $35.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $1,000 ■ $3,000 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.
If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Ethereum odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price $1,000 at 11.5% ($3,000 88.5%), with $107.1K traded in total and $1.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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