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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 2.4% (No 97.6%), with $415.6K traded in total and $264 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $415.6K |
| No | 97.6% | +0.1 pts | — |
Total volume $415.6K · 24h volume $264 · Liquidity $9.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Pop Culture odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 2.4% (No 97.6%), with $415.6K traded in total and $264 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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