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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 21.6%. The market has $38.7K in total volume and $30 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 21.6% | +19.6 pts | $938 |
| December 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $37.7K |
Total volume $38.7K · 24h volume $30 · Liquidity $323. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart.
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.
A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 21.6%. The market has $38.7K in total volume and $30 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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