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Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 3, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027

As of October 3, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 7.0% (No 93%), with $49.6K traded in total and $680 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Yes7.0%
—$49.6K
No93%
——

Total volume $49.6K · 24h volume $680 · Liquidity $617. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 3Oct 3

■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.

A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

As of October 3, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 7.0% (No 93%), with $49.6K traded in total and $680 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026 market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

Use this data

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