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Updated October 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 1, 2026
As of October 23, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 28% (No 72%), with $27.7K traded in total and $19.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | -0.5 pts | $27.7K |
| No | 72% | +0.5 pts | — |
Total volume $27.7K · 24h volume $19.9K · Liquidity $41.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign pulls its advertisement featuring Amy Acton's mother between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The advertisement will be considered pulled if either of the following occurs within this market's timeframe: Vivek Ramaswamy or an authorized representative of his campaign publicly announces that the campaign has stopped, or will stop, airing the advertisement; or a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the campaign has pulled, withdrawn, or stopped airing the advertisement on television.
Replacing the advertisement with a new or edited version that no longer features Amy Acton's mother will qualify. Editing the advertisement while it continues to feature Amy Acton's mother will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: removal of the advertisement from social media or other online platforms while it continues to air on television; a reduction in spending or airtime that does not stop the advertisement from airing; the advertisement leaving the air because its previously scheduled ad buy has ended, unless the campaign or a consensus of credible reporting describes the advertisement as having been pulled or withdrawn; removal by a television station, platform, or court order rather than by the campaign; and the airing or removal of any advertisement by a third party not affiliated with the Ramaswamy campaign.
If the campaign announces that it will stop airing the advertisement, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the advertisement actually stops airing. A subsequent decision to resume airing the advertisement will not change a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Vivek Ramaswamy and his campaign, including official websites, verified social media accounts, interviews, and press conferences; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Politics odds
As of October 23, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 28% (No 72%), with $27.7K traded in total and $19.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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