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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2030
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2029 at 20.5%, followed by By December 31, 2028 at 15.5%, By December 31, 2027 at 6.5%. The market has $52.9K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2029 | 20.5% | — | $16.9K |
| By December 31, 2028 | 15.5% | — | $20.3K |
| By December 31, 2027 | 6.5% | — | $15.7K |
Total volume $52.9K · 24h volume $2.3K · Liquidity $816.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2029 ■ By December 31, 2028 ■ By December 31, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Anthropic odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2029 at 20.5%, followed by By December 31, 2028 at 15.5%, By December 31, 2027 at 6.5%. The market has $52.9K in total volume and $2.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2030. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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