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Updated October 2, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 13, 2026
As of October 2, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1.9 to 2.1% at 48%, followed by 1.6 to 1.8% at 38%, 2.2 to 2.4% at 8.6%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $690 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 to 2.1% | 48% | -1.5 pts | $11.4K |
| 1.6 to 1.8% | 38% | +0.5 pts | $2.8K |
| 2.2 to 2.4% | 8.6% | -1.4 pts | $1.4K |
| 1.3 to 1.5% | 3.2% | +0.3 pts | $1.1K |
| 1.0 to 1.2% | 1.7% | — | $790 |
| 2.5 to 2.7% | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $889 |
| 2.8%+ | 0.5% | — | $920 |
| ≤0.9% | 0.5% | — | $770 |
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $690 · Liquidity $5.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 1.9 to 2.1% ■ 1.6 to 1.8% ■ 2.2 to 2.4% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of October 2, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1.9 to 2.1% at 48%, followed by 1.6 to 1.8% at 38%, 2.2 to 2.4% at 8.6%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $690 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 13, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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