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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: November 14, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 66,000 at 98.8%, followed by 68,000 at 98.4%, 70,000 at 95.4%. The market has $80.5K in total volume and $43.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 98.8% | +0.4 pts | $10.4K |
| 68,000 | 98.4% | +2.1 pts | $11.9K |
| 70,000 | 95.4% | +4.4 pts | $11.1K |
| 72,000 | 83.5% | +9.5 pts | $17.5K |
| 74,000 | 46.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.7K |
| 76,000 | 15.5% | -5.5 pts | $539 |
| 78,000 | 4.0% | -2.5 pts | $3.5K |
| 80,000 | 1.6% | -0.1 pts | $13.2K |
| 82,000 | 0.8% | +0.2 pts | $2.7K |
| 84,000 | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $7.3K |
| 86,000 | 0.4% | -0.3 pts | $687 |
Total volume $80.5K · 24h volume $43.0K · Liquidity $441.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 66,000 ■ 68,000 ■ 70,000 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Bitcoin odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 66,000 at 98.8%, followed by 68,000 at 98.4%, 70,000 at 95.4%. The market has $80.5K in total volume and $43.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 14, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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