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Updated October 11, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 24, 2026
As of October 11, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Conservative at 71%, followed by NDP at 29.5%, OneBC at <0.1%. The market has $26.4K in total volume and $88 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 71% | +1.5 pts | $13.0K |
| NDP | 29.5% | — | $12.1K |
| OneBC | <0.1% | — | $464 |
| Greens | <0.1% | — | $450 |
| CentreBC | <0.1% | — | $441 |
Total volume $26.4K · 24h volume $88 · Liquidity $177.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Conservative ■ NDP ■ OneBC · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 11, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Conservative at 71%, followed by NDP at 29.5%, OneBC at <0.1%. The market has $26.4K in total volume and $88 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 24, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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