Home › Polymarket odds › Economy & Fed
Updated October 9, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 30, 2026
As of October 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 0.2 to 0.3% at 32.5%, followed by 0.6%+ at 18.7%, 0.4 to 0.5% at 18.5%. The market has $21.0K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 to 0.3% | 32.5% | -18.5 pts | $5.6K |
| 0.6%+ | 18.7% | +17.1 pts | $565 |
| 0.4 to 0.5% | 18.5% | +3.0 pts | $5.8K |
| 0.0 to 0.1% | 14.5% | -18.0 pts | $7.4K |
| -0.2 to -0.1% | 3.4% | +0.8 pts | $787 |
| <-0.2% | 3.2% | +1.7 pts | $884 |
Total volume $21.0K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $2.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 0.2 to 0.3% ■ 0.6%+ ■ 0.4 to 0.5% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Canada odds · US Economy odds
As of October 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 0.2 to 0.3% at 32.5%, followed by 0.6%+ at 18.7%, 0.4 to 0.5% at 18.5%. The market has $21.0K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom/">Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) — Polymarket odds”, October 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom.svg" alt="Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog