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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Morena at 73%, followed by MC at 8.6%, PVEM at 6.5%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 73% | — | $8.3K |
| MC | 8.6% | +0.3 pts | $1.1K |
| PVEM | 6.5% | — | $6.3K |
| PT | 4.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.7K |
| PRI | 0.5% | — | $967 |
| PAN | 0.5% | — | $819 |
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $75.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Morena ■ MC ■ PVEM · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Colima are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Colima as a result of this election.
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Colima and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima (https://ieecolima.org.mx/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Morena at 73%, followed by MC at 8.6%, PVEM at 6.5%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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