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Updated November 9, 2026 · 62 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 62 live Mexico markets with $12.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 9? (25°C 47.5%), followed by Nayarit Congress Election Winner (Morena 91%), Chiapas Congress Election Winner (Morena 54.5%).
Mexico: President Sheinbaum, the legislative elections and relations with the US. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 9? | 25°C 47.5% | +15.5 pts | $4.6K | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Nayarit Congress Election Winner | Morena 91% | +6.5 pts | $2.4K | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Chiapas Congress Election Winner | Morena 54.5% | -22.5 pts | $870 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in December? | No change 93.5% | — | $689 | Dec 17, 2026 |
| Hidalgo Congress Election Winner | Morena 77.5% | -5.0 pts | $421 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 10? | 24°C 46.5% | — | $408 | Nov 10, 2026 |
| Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 | 3.50% to 3.99% 59.7% | -0.4 pts | $384 | Jan 9, 2027 |
| Sonora Governor Election Winner | Lorenia Valles Sampedro 55.5% | — | $337 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Puebla Congress Election Winner | Morena 92% | -1.5 pts | $320 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Chihuahua Congress Election Winner | PAN 48% | +5.0 pts | $282 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Sinaloa Congress Election Winner | Morena 74.5% | -1.0 pts | $273 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| San Luis Potosí Congress Election Winner | PVEM 63% | -2.0 pts | $229 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Mexico City Congress Election Winner | Morena 71.5% | +2.0 pts | $172 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Michoacán Congress Election Winner | Morena 62% | -11.0 pts | $155 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Jalisco Congress Election Winner | MC 52.5% | +1.5 pts | $140 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Campeche Congress Election Winner | Morena 70% | +16.0 pts | $108 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Mexico Legislative Election Winner | Morena 89.2% | — | $103 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Durango Congress Election Winner | Morena 57% | +1.0 pts | $100 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Guerrero Congress Election Winner | Morena 93.5% | — | $75 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Colima Congress Election Winner | Morena 75% | +3.5 pts | $66 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner | Antonio Martín del Campo 61.5% | +0.5 pts | $54 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Querétaro Governor Election Winner | Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 62.5% | -1.0 pts | $51 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner | Morena 49.5% | +2.0 pts | $51 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Zacatecas Governor Election Winner | Verónica Díaz Robles 36.5% | -0.5 pts | $40 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Querétaro Congress Election Winner | PAN 72.5% | — | $29 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner | PAN 57.5% | +1.5 pts | $25 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Tlaxcala Congress Election Winner | Morena 93.5% | +1.0 pts | $20 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner | Ruth González Silva 66.5% | -2.5 pts | $15 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Chihuahua Governor Election Winner | Marco Bonilla Mendoza 62% | -1.5 pts | $14 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Sinaloa Governor Election Winner | Imelda Castro Castro 66% | -1.0 pts | $11 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Baja California Congress Election Winner | Morena 90% | +0.5 pts | $10 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Nuevo León Governor Election Winner | Adrián de la Garza Santos 39.5% | +1.0 pts | $9 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026? | Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan 35.9% | +1.0 pts | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November? | Japan 96.5% | — | $6 | Dec 4, 2026 |
| Nuevo León Congress Election Winner | MC 43.8% | +4.0 pts | $1 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US? | By December 31 8.5% | — | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico? | By December 31, 2026 2.7% | — | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Guerrero Governor Election Winner | Beatriz Mojica Morga 69.2% | +3.6 pts | $0 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner | Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 68% | -0.4 pts | $0 | Jun 7, 2027 |
| Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place? | PAN 75.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | Jun 7, 2027 |
22 smaller markets are not shown; all 62 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 62 live Mexico markets with $12.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 9? (25°C 47.5%), followed by Nayarit Congress Election Winner (Morena 91%), Chiapas Congress Election Winner (Morena 54.5%).
62 live markets as of November 9, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Mexico markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/mexico/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Mexico odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mexico/">Mexico odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/mexico.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mexico/)
Polymarket View, “Mexico odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mexico/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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