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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: February 7, 2027
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor at 64.5%, followed by Barry Avotu Johnson at 7.8%, Ogboru Great Ovedje at 5.3%. The market has $21.7K in total volume and $21 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor | 64.5% | -2.0 pts | $19.3K |
| Barry Avotu Johnson | 7.8% | +1.9 pts | $896 |
| Ogboru Great Ovedje | 5.3% | +0.2 pts | $431 |
| Nkwoala Emeka | 4.9% | — | $481 |
| Emmanuel Unuafe | 2.3% | +1.3 pts | $378 |
| Joshua Denila | 0.5% | — | $278 |
Total volume $21.7K · 24h volume $21 · Liquidity $62.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor ■ Barry Avotu Johnson ■ Ogboru Great Ovedje · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Delta State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor at 64.5%, followed by Barry Avotu Johnson at 7.8%, Ogboru Great Ovedje at 5.3%. The market has $21.7K in total volume and $21 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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