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Democratic VP Nominee 2028 — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: August 11, 2028

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10.5%, followed by Gretchen Whitmer at 10.0%, Elissa Slotkin at 5.6%. The market has $100.4K in total volume and $776 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.5%
+1.0 pts$9.6K
Gretchen Whitmer10.0%
-0.9 pts$8.2K
Elissa Slotkin5.6%
-0.4 pts$1.3K
Andy Beshear5.5%
+0.1 pts$4.6K
Josh Shapiro5.1%
-0.3 pts$4.5K
Pete Buttigieg5.1%
$5.1K
James Talarico4.5%
-0.1 pts$1.2K
Zohran Mamdani4.5%
+0.1 pts$12.4K
Jon Ossoff4.3%
-0.8 pts$2.5K
Raphael Warnock4.0%
+0.3 pts$2.2K
LeBron James4.0%
+0.1 pts$549
Phil Murphy3.9%
+1.3 pts$2.2K
Gina Raimondo3.8%
+1.6 pts$2.1K
Gavin Newsom3.5%
+0.7 pts$2.1K
Wes Moore3.4%
$1.5K

28 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $100.4K · 24h volume $776 · Liquidity $1.39M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Sep 24

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Gretchen Whitmer Elissa Slotkin · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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More odds by topic: 2028 Presidential Election odds · Politics odds

Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Democratic VP Nominee 2028?

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10.5%, followed by Gretchen Whitmer at 10.0%, Elissa Slotkin at 5.6%. The market has $100.4K in total volume and $776 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Democratic VP Nominee 2028 market end?

The event's listed end date is August 11, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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