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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: June 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Germany at 95.5%, followed by Netherlands at 95.5%, Canada at 95.5%. The market has $25.7K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 95.5% | +3.3 pts | $414 |
| Netherlands | 95.5% | — | $7.4K |
| Canada | 95.5% | +0.8 pts | $2.8K |
| Israel | 90.8% | +1.5 pts | $1.9K |
| Moldova | 90.5% | — | $41 |
| Austria | 88.8% | -0.2 pts | $278 |
| Belgium | 88% | +16.0 pts | $4.3K |
| Italy | 81% | -15.6 pts | $407 |
| Iceland | 74.5% | — | $239 |
| Slovenia | 60.5% | — | $1.2K |
| North Macedonia | 56.2% | -2.0 pts | $908 |
| Kazakhstan | 12.2% | +1.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Spain | 5.9% | +0.7 pts | $3.2K |
| Ireland | 4.9% | +1.4 pts | $1.2K |
Total volume $25.7K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $9.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Germany ■ Netherlands ■ Canada · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2027 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) at the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2027, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market.
If no qualifying list is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Germany at 95.5%, followed by Netherlands at 95.5%, Canada at 95.5%. The market has $25.7K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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