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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 3, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 2 at 2.0%. The market has $38.7K in total volume and $412 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By November 2 | 2.0% | -0.1 pts | $16.4K |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $22.4K |
Total volume $38.7K · 24h volume $412 · Liquidity $17.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By November 2 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Oil & Commodities odds · Politics odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 2 at 2.0%. The market has $38.7K in total volume and $412 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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