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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: October 4, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Mayweather at 49.5% (Pacquiao 50.5%), with $214.2K traded in total and $424 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayweather | 49.5% | -1.0 pts | $214.2K |
| Pacquiao | 50.5% | +1.0 pts | — |
Total volume $214.2K · 24h volume $424 · Liquidity $248.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Mayweather ■ Pacquiao · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada.
It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Mayweather at 49.5% (Pacquiao 50.5%), with $214.2K traded in total and $424 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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