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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: January 1, 2027

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 2.9% (No 97.2%), with $18.44M traded in total and $67.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Yes2.9%
+0.1 pts$18.44M
No97.2%
-0.1 pts

Total volume $18.44M · 24h volume $67.4K · Liquidity $171.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 24Sep 23

Yes No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 2.9% (No 97.2%), with $18.44M traded in total and $67.4K in the last 24 hours.

When does the Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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Polymarket View, “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 23, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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