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Updated October 20, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 90+ at 95.5%, followed by 92+ at 95.5%, 94+ at 94%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90+ | 95.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.0K |
| 92+ | 95.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| 94+ | 94% | +0.1 pts | $5.6K |
| 96+ | 78% | -5.5 pts | $8.2K |
| 97+ | 43.5% | — | $494 |
| 98+ | 22.5% | — | $3.9K |
Total volume $20.4K · 24h volume $1.1K · Liquidity $47.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 90+ ■ 92+ ■ 94+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "GTA VI" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/grand-theft-auto-vi/) as of seven days after release, at 10:00 AM ET, is at least the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after release at 10:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. PS5 or Xbox Series X/S), it will count.
If GTA VI is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Pop Culture odds
As of October 20, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 90+ at 95.5%, followed by 92+ at 95.5%, 94+ at 94%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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