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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 2, 2027
As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1-100 at 68.7%, followed by 1k-2.5k at 26.1%, >100k at 6.5%. The market has $294.7K in total volume and $898 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-100 | 68.7% | +3.2 pts | $18.6K |
| 1k-2.5k | 26.1% | +5.5 pts | $11.4K |
| >100k | 6.5% | — | $26.2K |
| 101-1k | 4.0% | +0.4 pts | $41.7K |
| 5k-10k | 1.9% | — | $12.1K |
| 10k-25k | 1.7% | — | $117.0K |
| 25k-100k | 0.5% | -0.9 pts | $12.0K |
| 2.5k-5k | 0.3% | — | $11.2K |
| 0 (settled) | 0.0% | -19.4 pts | $44.4K |
Total volume $294.7K · 24h volume $898 · Liquidity $87.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 1-100 ■ 1k-2.5k ■ >100k · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1-100 at 68.7%, followed by 1k-2.5k at 26.1%, >100k at 6.5%. The market has $294.7K in total volume and $898 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 2, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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