Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 29, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: March 1, 2027
As of September 29, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 400-500k at 66.5%, followed by 500-600k at 11.9%, 300-400k at 8.5%. The market has $126.3K in total volume and $759 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 400-500k | 66.5% | -0.5 pts | $8.9K |
| 500-600k | 11.9% | +1.1 pts | $6.6K |
| 300-400k | 8.5% | +1.0 pts | $15.2K |
| 600-700k | 1.8% | — | $5.8K |
| <200k | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $10.6K |
| 200-300k | 1.5% | +0.9 pts | $9.9K |
| 700-800k | 1.4% | — | $42.0K |
| 800-900k | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $13.3K |
| >1m | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $7.2K |
| 900k-1m | 0.9% | +0.2 pts | $6.8K |
Total volume $126.3K · 24h volume $759 · Liquidity $82.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 400-500k ■ 500-600k ■ 300-400k · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 29, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 400-500k at 66.5%, followed by 500-600k at 11.9%, 300-400k at 8.5%. The market has $126.3K in total volume and $759 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How many people will Trump deport in 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823/">How many people will Trump deport in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “How many people will Trump deport in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 29, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823.svg" alt="How many people will Trump deport in 2026? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog