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Jack Doherty Prison Time? — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 17, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: November 1, 2026

As of October 17, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No Prison Time at 87.5%, followed by <2 Years at 8.0%, 2-5 Years at 4.1%. The market has $26.5K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
No Prison Time87.5%
-4.3 pts$14.3K
<2 Years8.0%
+0.1 pts$3.6K
2-5 Years4.1%
+3.5 pts$3.1K
5+ Years0.9%
+0.8 pts$5.5K

Total volume $26.5K · 24h volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Oct 17

■ No Prison Time ■ <2 Years ■ 2-5 Years · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.

If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Jack Doherty Prison Time?

As of October 17, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No Prison Time at 87.5%, followed by <2 Years at 8.0%, 2-5 Years at 4.1%. The market has $26.5K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.

When does the Jack Doherty Prison Time market end?

The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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