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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By March 31, 2027 at 28.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 21.5%. The market has $380.8K in total volume and $148.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By March 31, 2027 | 28.5% | +10.0 pts | $32.7K |
| By December 31, 2026 | 21.5% | +12.0 pts | $348.1K |
Total volume $380.8K · 24h volume $148.8K · Liquidity $50.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By March 31, 2027 ■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify.
The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By March 31, 2027 at 28.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 21.5%. The market has $380.8K in total volume and $148.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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