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Updated November 9, 2026 · 183 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 183 live Big Tech markets with $479.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($1.5–$1.75T 32.4%), followed by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (SpaceX 88.5%), Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? (↑$1.5T 72.8%).
Google, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft and Amazon: launches, market caps and company events. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.5–$1.75T 32.4% | -0.2 pts | $116.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88.5% | — | $46.6K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.5T 72.8% | -1.1 pts | $34.8K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| AI bubble burst? | By June 30, 2027 24.5% | -2.0 pts | $32.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? | Yes 15.5% | — | $27.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | Apple 70.5% | +5.2 pts | $21.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Largest Company end of November 2026? | Apple 81% | +6.5 pts | $20.5K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Gemini Carbon released? | By December 31 98.7% | +0.2 pts | $14.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| IPOs before 2027? | Anthropic 87.5% | -2.0 pts | $9.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released? | No release by November 30 69% | -4.5 pts | $9.1K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? | $1.25–$1.50T 42.2% | -2.8 pts | $8.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 1.2–1.5T 33% | +0.4 pts | $8.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? | $75B to $85B 35.6% | +10.1 pts | $7.0K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? | Earbuds/Headphones 12% | +0.5 pts | $6.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? | Yes 8.5% | — | $6.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? | November 2026 79% | +2.5 pts | $6.1K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? | Lindsay Clancy 27% | -5.5 pts | $5.5K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO? | 5% to 6% 33.5% | +4.5 pts | $5.1K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| GPU rental prices (A100) end of December 2026? | $1.00-$1.25 41% | -2.5 pts | $4.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2? | Google 99.9%+ | +0.8 pts | $4.9K | Nov 10, 2026 |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 81.5% | +1.0 pts | $4.5K | Jan 4, 2027 |
| How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? | 450k to 475k 24% | +10.0 pts | $4.0K | Mar 1, 2027 |
| #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2? | OpenAI 99.8% | +0.8 pts | $3.9K | Nov 10, 2026 |
| Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | Anthropic 89.5% | -0.4 pts | $2.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| GPU rental prices (RTX 6000) end of November 2026? | $1.50-$1.75 63% | -0.5 pts | $2.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026 | Inde Navarrette 89.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.8K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released? | By December 31 33% | -16.0 pts | $2.7K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Gemini Carbon released? | November 10 58.5% | +10.3 pts | $2.3K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced? | By December 31, 2027 66.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.3K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? | #3 16.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026? | NVIDIA 55.5% | +8.0 pts | $2.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | November 30, 2026 93.1% | -0.6 pts | $2.1K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026? | $2.50-$3.00T 29% | -20.5 pts | $2.0K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product? | By December 31, 2026 20% | +8.5 pts | $2.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| #1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2? | DeepSeek 99.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.9K | Nov 10, 2026 |
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | Viking Therapeutics 10.5% | — | $1.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3rd Largest Company end of November 2026? | Microsoft 87% | +8.5 pts | $1.6K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| GPU rental prices (H100) end of December 2026? | $3.25+ 63.5% | -3.0 pts | $1.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released? | By December 31 56% | +1.5 pts | $1.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
143 smaller markets are not shown; all 183 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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AI (177) · OpenAI (81) · Anthropic (76) · Elon Musk (70) · Science & Space (106)
As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 183 live Big Tech markets with $479.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($1.5–$1.75T 32.4%), followed by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (SpaceX 88.5%), Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? (↑$1.5T 72.8%).
183 live markets as of November 9, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/big-tech/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Big Tech odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/big-tech/">Big Tech odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/big-tech.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “Big Tech odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/big-tech/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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