Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 29, 2026
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Hsieh Kuo-liang at 66%, followed by Tung Tzu-wei at 32.5%. The market has $22.1K in total volume and $932 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hsieh Kuo-liang | 66% | -3.5 pts | $10.5K |
| Tung Tzu-wei | 32.5% | +1.0 pts | $11.6K |
Total volume $22.1K · 24h volume $932 · Liquidity $58.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Hsieh Kuo-liang ■ Tung Tzu-wei · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · China & Taiwan odds · Politics odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Hsieh Kuo-liang at 66%, followed by Tung Tzu-wei at 32.5%. The market has $22.1K in total volume and $932 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 29, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Keelung Mayor Election Winner odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner/">Keelung Mayor Election Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Keelung Mayor Election Winner — Polymarket odds”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/keelung-mayor-election-winner.svg" alt="Keelung Mayor Election Winner odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog