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Updated September 25, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: December 31, 2027
As of September 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 53.5% (No 46.5%), with $31.7K traded in total and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | -2.0 pts | $31.7K |
| No | 46.5% | +2.0 pts | — |
Total volume $31.7K · 24h volume $1.9K · Liquidity $10.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.
Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.
The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 53.5% (No 46.5%), with $31.7K traded in total and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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