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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Łukasz Gibała at 88.5%, followed by Monika Piątkowska at 12.5%, Michał Drewnicki at 0.6%. The market has $37.4K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Gibała | 88.5% | +4.0 pts | $16.0K |
| Monika Piątkowska | 12.5% | -1.0 pts | $4.2K |
| Michał Drewnicki | 0.6% | -2.4 pts | $1.7K |
| Grażyna Zofia Świat | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.6K |
| Daria Gosek-Popiołek | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Aleksandra Owca | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Marianna Schreiber | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| Marian Banaś | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| Sławomir Pietrzyk | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Rafał Komarewicz | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $971 |
| Marta Ratuszyńska | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $969 |
| Łukasz Wantuch | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $957 |
| Paweł Śliz | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Rafał Sonik | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $970 |
| Jan Hoffman | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $937 |
2 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $37.4K · 24h volume $1.0K · Liquidity $361.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Łukasz Gibała ■ Monika Piątkowska ■ Michał Drewnicki · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Łukasz Gibała at 88.5%, followed by Monika Piątkowska at 12.5%, Michał Drewnicki at 0.6%. The market has $37.4K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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