Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 15.8% (No 84.2%), with $20.7K traded in total and $6.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.8% | +8.0 pts | $20.7K |
| No | 84.2% | -8.0 pts | — |
Total volume $20.7K · 24h volume $6.5K · Liquidity $2.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify.
If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter.
If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Supreme Court odds · Politics odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 15.8% (No 84.2%), with $20.7K traded in total and $6.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter/">Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 28, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-manslaughter.svg" alt="Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog