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Updated October 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 4, 2026
As of October 24, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1.4M-1.5M at 40.5%, followed by 1.6M-1.7M at 17.4%, 1.5M-1.6M at 16.6%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $642 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4M-1.5M | 40.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.5K |
| 1.6M-1.7M | 17.4% | +3.3 pts | $1.3K |
| 1.5M-1.6M | 16.6% | +0.7 pts | $3.0K |
| 1.7M+ | 14% | +2.9 pts | $1.3K |
| <1.1M | 7.0% | -5.8 pts | $905 |
| 1.1M-1.2M | 6.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.7K |
| 1.2M-1.3M | 4.9% | -0.1 pts | $4.9K |
| 1.3M-1.4M | 3.8% | -0.1 pts | $2.6K |
Total volume $20.2K · 24h volume $642 · Liquidity $114.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 1.4M-1.5M ■ 1.6M-1.7M ■ 1.5M-1.6M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: 2026 Midterms odds · Senate Races odds · Politics odds
As of October 24, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 1.4M-1.5M at 40.5%, followed by 1.6M-1.7M at 17.4%, 1.5M-1.6M at 16.6%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $642 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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