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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 29, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei at 35.5%, followed by DPP sweep at 27%, KMT sweep at 26%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $7.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei | 35.5% | +1.5 pts | $3.7K |
| DPP sweep | 27% | — | $2.3K |
| KMT sweep | 26% | -8.5 pts | $12.9K |
| DPP Taipei, KMT New Taipei | 4.3% | +1.2 pts | $1.2K |
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $7.2K · Liquidity $51.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei ■ DPP sweep ■ KMT sweep · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the outcome of the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections that are currently scheduled for November 28, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “KMT” or “DPP” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · China & Taiwan odds · Politics odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei at 35.5%, followed by DPP sweep at 27%, KMT sweep at 26%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $7.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 29, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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