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Updated October 21, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of October 21, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is PAN at 73%, followed by PRI at 15.6%, PVEM at 6.0%. The market has $86.4K in total volume and $572 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAN | 73% | -3.0 pts | $39.0K |
| PRI | 15.6% | -0.2 pts | $15.3K |
| PVEM | 6.0% | +1.5 pts | $13.2K |
| Morena | 2.0% | -2.9 pts | $5.5K |
| MC | 1.8% | -1.6 pts | $5.0K |
| PT | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $8.4K |
Total volume $86.4K · 24h volume $572 · Liquidity $88.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ PAN ■ PRI ■ PVEM · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Mexico odds · Politics odds
As of October 21, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is PAN at 73%, followed by PRI at 15.6%, PVEM at 6.0%. The market has $86.4K in total volume and $572 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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