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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 7, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Morena at 91.1%, followed by PAN at 6.4%, PRI at 2.2%. The market has $104.7K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 91.1% | +0.1 pts | $56.7K |
| PAN | 6.4% | — | $17.6K |
| PRI | 2.2% | +0.1 pts | $8.5K |
| MC | 0.1% | — | $9.5K |
| PVEM | <0.1% | — | $6.1K |
| PT | <0.1% | — | $6.1K |
Total volume $104.7K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $191.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Morena ■ PAN ■ PRI · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Mexico odds · Politics odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Morena at 91.1%, followed by PAN at 6.4%, PRI at 2.2%. The market has $104.7K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 7, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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