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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 3, 2026
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Bruce Blakeman (R) at 66%, followed by Kathy Hochul (D) at 26.5%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | 66% | -10.5 pts | $13.3K |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 26.5% | +2.0 pts | $7.4K |
Total volume $20.7K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $942. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Bruce Blakeman (R) ■ Kathy Hochul (D) · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Bruce Blakeman (R) at 66%, followed by Kathy Hochul (D) at 26.5%. The market has $20.7K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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