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New Polymarket markets this week

Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2026 · refreshed twice a day

54 new Polymarket markets opened in the last seven days (Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2026), not counting recurring price, weather and single-game markets. The most traded so far: US-Iran ceasefire continues? (Through September 25 95.8%), then Trump renames AI by September 30? (Yes 32.5%), CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House? (By October 31 95.5%).

MarketOpenedLeading outcome24h volumeEnds
US-Iran ceasefire continues?Sep 17Through September 25 95.8%$246.4KOct 31
Trump renames AI by September 30?Sep 20Yes 32.5%$84.5KOct 1
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House?Sep 18By October 31 95.5%$52.7KOct 31
US-Yemen ceasefire continues?Sep 20Through September 22 98.4%$36.3KOct 31
US Announces Diesel Export ban?Sep 21By October 31 18.5%$32.3KNov 1
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?Sep 1760-70M 68.2%$27.6KSep 26
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?Sep 22↓ 8% 86.5%$22.4KNov 1
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia?Sep 17September 28 55.5%$22.1KSep 30
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?Sep 22China 5+ times 50.5%$21.9KSep 24
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting?Sep 22By December 31, 2026 75%$20.6KDec 31
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?Sep 22USA 44.5%$16.8KDec 31
Russia military action against EU country?Sep 19By December 31 20%$16.4KJan 1
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?Sep 22↓ 35% 94.5%$14.9KNov 1
VMA Video of the Year 2026Sep 18The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 64.5%$11.9KSep 28
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?Sep 221480+ 78.5%$11.8KJun 30
Will Ukraine target Moscow?Sep 22September 29 29.5%$9.9KSep 30
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Sep 18Yes 1.5%$9.8KOct 1
"Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score?Sep 2260+ 97.2%$8.7KOct 19
"Digger" Opening Weekend Box OfficeSep 21<17m 65.5%$8.2KOct 4
Next Premier of British ColumbiaSep 23David Eby 68%$8.0KOct 24
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?Sep 17Nuclear 96.5%$7.9KSep 24
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order?Sep 17By December 31 13.5%$7.4KJan 1
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?Sep 22Yes 4.6%$7.0KOct 1
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen?Sep 17September 24 76.5%$6.6KSep 30
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?Sep 211450+ 75%$6.3KJun 30
Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerSep 21Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 60.5%$6.1KOct 25
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced?Sep 18By October 31 29.5%$4.7KJan 1
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?Sep 21Elon Musk 99.5%$4.3KOct 8
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Sep 22JD Vance 95%$4.0KOct 31
Highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia, September 24 to 28?Sep 2225 kt or more 94.5%$3.7KSep 29
Democratic Senate odds on September 25?Sep 2366-68% 38.5%$3.5KSep 25
VMA Artist of the Year 2026Sep 18Taylor Swift 48%$3.3KSep 28
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Sep 22Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 47%$3.2KOct 31
Peak wave height at NY Harbor, September 23 to 28?Sep 2210 ft or more 97%$3.0KSep 29
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?Sep 22280M 75.5%$2.9KNov 12
Jumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?Sep 22Kraken 79.5%$2.6KFeb 1
Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberSep 22Nothing 97.9%$2.5KSep 30
Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?Sep 22Yes 18.5%$2.5KDec 31
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released?Sep 22No release by October 31 15.5%$2.2KOct 31
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Sep 17Don Toliver 89%$2.1KNov 27
British Columbia General Election WinnerSep 23NDP 68.5%$1.7KOct 24
What will the next Muse model family be named?Sep 21Muse Flare 14%$1.7KDec 31
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Sep 22Yes 11.5%$1.6KNov 3
Saudi airspace closed?Sep 20By December 31 22.5%$1.5KJan 1
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement?Sep 18By December 31, 2026 13.5%$1.5KJan 1
Highest wind gust at Boston Logan, September 24 to 28?Sep 2235 kt or more 56.5%$1.3KSep 29
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?Sep 22Yes 0.5%$1.2KSep 29
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China?Sep 16By December 31 12.5%$1.2KJan 1
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?Sep 221460+ 64.5%$1.2KJul 1
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Sep 22Yes 84%$1.2KSep 25

Markets whose start date falls in the last seven days, sorted by 24-hour volume. Leaves out recurring series (crypto up/down, daily prices and temperatures) and single games. For established markets see Polymarket odds today and this week's biggest moves.

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