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New Polymarket markets this week

Nov 2 – Nov 9, 2026 · refreshed twice a day

74 new Polymarket markets opened in the last seven days (Nov 2 – Nov 9, 2026), not counting recurring price, weather and single-game markets. The most traded so far: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) (December 31 79.5%), then Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon? (By November 12 (11:59 PM ET) 98%), US-Iran effective ceasefire continues? (Through November 6 99.1%).

MarketOpenedLeading outcome24h volumeEnds
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)Nov 8December 31 79.5%$302.0KDec 31
Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon?Nov 5By November 12 (11:59 PM ET) 98%$179.5KNov 17
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues?Nov 4Through November 6 99.1%$54.3KJan 1
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State?Nov 5By March 31, 2027 24.5%$28.5KApr 1
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?Nov 8Yes 15.5%$27.2KJan 1
Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAONov 8>1M 97.5%$17.6KDec 1
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?Nov 7Benjamin Netanyahu 58%$16.1KJan 1
House Majority Leader of the next Congress?Nov 2Katherine Clark 96%$10.2KJan 3
Eurovision Asia Winner 2026Nov 3Malaysia 54.5%$10.1KNov 15
PGL Major Singapore 2026: WinnerNov 4Vitality 28.5%$9.9KDec 15
Nozempic 2: Who loses the most weight?Nov 7Cuffem 53.5%$9.3KNov 13
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released?Nov 3No release by November 30 69%$9.1KDec 1
Israel military action against Lebanon?Nov 5November 8 98.5%$8.2KDec 1
Next US president's age at inauguration?Nov 740+ 88.5%$7.0KJan 21
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?Nov 8Yes 8.5%$6.7KJan 1
Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister?Nov 6By June 30, 2027 94%$5.7KJul 1
GMGN GGC Season 1 WinnerNov 5Dani (@DaniWorldwide) 40.5%$5.5KNov 18
Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” Sale PriceNov 7$18m-$21m 27%$5.3KNov 19
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?Nov 2Yes 82%$5.0KDec 20
Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” Sale PriceNov 7$50m-$60m 36.5%$4.3KNov 18
Nozempic 2: Which team loses the most weight?Nov 7Adin Ross's Team 28%$4.3KNov 13
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?Nov 3↓ 2% 22.5%$4.1KJan 1
Next Qwen Max Model (3.9+): Text Arena Debut?Nov 71460+ 89.5%$4.0KJul 1
Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote WinnerNov 3Malaysia 38%$3.5KNov 15
Paraguay Presidential Election WinnerNov 5Arnoldo Wiens 21.3%$3.4KMay 1
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?Nov 6215-219 35.5%$3.4KJan 1
Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” Sale PriceNov 7$60m-$75m 35.5%$3.2KNov 18
GPT Astra 6.1+ released?Nov 3November 12 26.2%$3.1KDec 1
AOC announces a presidential run?Nov 2By June 30, 2027 45%$3.0KJul 1
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?Nov 6Pete Hegseth 26%$2.9KJan 1
BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026: WinnerNov 4Vitality 28.5%$2.8KNov 17
Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” Sale PriceNov 7$25m-$30m 35.5%$2.8KNov 17
Aleksandar Vučić arrested?Nov 7By December 31, 2026 13%$2.8KJan 1
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape?Nov 3By November 30 38%$2.8KDec 1
Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” Sale PriceNov 7$40m-$50m 34%$2.8KNov 20
How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?Nov 5255-259 31.5%$2.7KJan 4
BLAST Slam IX: WinnerNov 2Team Spirit 41.5%$2.6KDec 1
Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” Sale PriceNov 7$28m-$33m 27.5%$2.5KNov 18
Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” Sale PriceNov 7$75m-$90m 36%$2.2KNov 18
Balance of Power: 2028 ElectionNov 6Democratic Trifecta 52.5%$2.1KNov 8
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31?Nov 3↑ 70% 73.5%$2.1KApr 1
Next Senator in Klobuchar's Minnesota seat?Nov 6Kelly Morrison 46%$2.0KApr 1
Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?Nov 2Yes 99.2%$2.0KNov 16
Eurovision Asia 2026: Top 3Nov 7Malaysia 78.5%$1.9KNov 15
Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” Sale PriceNov 7$200m-$225m 30.5%$1.9KNov 19
National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election?Nov 6Yes 42%$1.9KNov 7
Spain General Election: Left-Right Seat Margin of VictoryNov 3Right 40-49 seats 31%$1.9KNov 30
French Presidential Election First Round: 4th PlaceNov 6Raphaël Glucksmann 19.5%$1.8KApr 18
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?Nov 3Jon Ossoff 96.8%$1.5KNov 30
1win Essence III: WinnerNov 2Team Spirit 59.5%$1.5KNov 20

Markets whose start date falls in the last seven days, sorted by 24-hour volume. Leaves out recurring series (crypto up/down, daily prices and temperatures) and single games. For established markets see Polymarket odds today and this week's biggest moves.

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