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Biggest Polymarket moves this week

Oct 31 – Nov 7, 2026 · refreshed twice a day · the most-traded long-running markets

The biggest Polymarket move of the week (Oct 31 – Nov 7, 2026): Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory — Hinojosa 6%+ went from 1.6% to 96.4% (+94.8 points). 1102 of the tracked markets rose and 789 fell by half a point or more; the tables list the largest moves each way.

Biggest risers

MarketOutcome7 days agoNowChange
Texas Governor Election Margin of VictoryHinojosa 6%+1.6%96.4%+94.8 pts
TN-04 House Election WinnerVictoria Broderick (D)1.8%96%+94.2 pts
AL-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%3.7%96.5%+92.8 pts
NC-02 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%4.9%97%+92.1 pts
Texas Senate Election Margin of VictoryTalarico 12%+4.2%96.2%+92.0 pts
NJ-05 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%5.9%97.1%+91.2 pts
MLB: AL Platinum Glove WinnerCody Bellinger9.0%99.9%++91.0 pts
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?Democrats9.0%99.3%+90.3 pts
TX-09 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 6%+9.6%99.1%+89.5 pts
Closest Senate Race?Mississippi4.0%92.8%+88.9 pts
South Dakota Governor Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 25-30%5.3%94%+88.6 pts
NC-12 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 60-65%5.1%93.8%+88.6 pts
TX-25 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 5-10%6.2%94.4%+88.1 pts
Mississippi Senate Election WinnerScott Colom (D)12%99.4%+87.4 pts
PA-16 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 5-10%10%97.2%+87.2 pts

Biggest fallers

MarketOutcome7 days agoNowChange
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group C WinnerIran82.5%1.1%-81.5 pts
NC-05 House Election WinnerVirginia Foxx (R)82.5%3.1%-79.4 pts
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM?By November 1582.5%4.0%-78.5 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group D WinnerAustralia78%3.4%-74.6 pts
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerLoranne Ausley75%0.8%-74.2 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group F WinnerJapan75.5%6.1%-69.4 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group E WinnerSouth Korea69%1.4%-67.7 pts
NFL: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards2,749.5+ passing yards73.5%6.5%-67.0 pts
New York Governor Election: Nassau County WinnerBruce Blakeman (R)70%5.5%-64.5 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group A WinnerSaudi Arabia63%2.5%-60.6 pts
MN-01 House Election WinnerBrad Finstad (R)62.5%4.0%-58.6 pts
Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga72%17.7%-54.2 pts
Huancayo Mayoral Election WinnerEmerson Nolasco Delgado99.4%45.5%-53.9 pts
US imports Russian diesel?By March 3172.5%20%-52.5 pts
Will Iran target Egypt?By December 3150%3.5%-46.5 pts

Change = the outcome's price now minus its price on the chart point closest to seven days ago (charts use 12-hour points). Only the most-traded long-running markets we track are included; for the last 24 hours see the biggest movers watchlist.

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