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Biggest Polymarket moves this week

Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2026 · refreshed twice a day · the most-traded long-running markets

The biggest Polymarket move of the week (Sep 16 – Sep 23, 2026): Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? — Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani went from 13% to 80.5% (+67.5 points). 89 of the tracked markets rose and 91 fell by half a point or more; the tables list the largest moves each way.

Biggest risers

MarketOutcome7 days agoNowChange
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani13%80.5%+67.5 pts
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?↑ 11019.5%77.5%+58.0 pts
What price will Solana hit in September?↑ 12012.5%61.3%+48.8 pts
46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament WinnerUzbekistan28.5%71.5%+43.0 pts
What price will Solana hit in 2026?↑ 12051.5%89%+37.5 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?↑ 87,5008.5%44.5%+36.0 pts
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.25%50.5%85.3%+34.8 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 90,00041%72.5%+31.5 pts
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?↓ $223.5%54.5%+31.0 pts
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez10.5%40%+29.5 pts
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Sorin Grindeanu14.9%41.3%+26.4 pts
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?4.25%31.9%57.3%+25.4 pts
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?China51.5%68%+16.5 pts
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen?September 2849%65%+16.0 pts
US-Iran ceasefire continues?Through September 3075%89.5%+14.5 pts

Biggest fallers

MarketOutcome7 days agoNowChange
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?940 - 950m63.5%0.4%-63.1 pts
What price will XRP hit in September?↓ 1.2057.5%6.7%-50.8 pts
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?1 (25 bps)47.5%11.5%-36.0 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?↓ 2,25067%34.5%-32.5 pts
What price will XRP hit in 2026?↓ 1.2079%49.5%-29.5 pts
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk?By December 3126.5%0.0%-26.5 pts
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionKaren Bass65.5%41.5%-24.0 pts
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II?By December 3116.5%0.0%-16.5 pts
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Mohammed bin Salman68.5%53%-15.5 pts
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled?By December 3115.5%0.0%-15.5 pts
Anthropic IPO by __?November 30, 202672%57.5%-14.5 pts
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$2.0T80%67%-13.0 pts
Houthis enter Aden?By October 3124.5%11.5%-13.0 pts
Alaska Senate Election WinnerSen. Dan Sullivan34.5%21.5%-13.0 pts
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?↑ $5,00042.5%30%-12.5 pts

Change = the outcome's price now minus its price on the chart point closest to seven days ago (charts use 12-hour points). Only the most-traded long-running markets we track are included; for the last 24 hours see the biggest movers watchlist.

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