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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Helen Zille at 69%, followed by Frank Chikane at 16.5%, Loyiso Masuku at 8.0%. The market has $116.7K in total volume and $914 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 69% | +2.0 pts | $47.5K |
| Frank Chikane | 16.5% | +9.0 pts | $25.7K |
| Loyiso Masuku | 8.0% | -0.3 pts | $19.8K |
| Dada Morero | 6.3% | +0.9 pts | $1.2K |
| Herman Mashaba | 6.2% | -1.8 pts | $15.7K |
| Lukhona Mnguni | 6.1% | +1.4 pts | $713 |
| Kenny Kunene | 1.2% | — | $3.1K |
| David Makhura | 0.4% | — | $3.0K |
Total volume $116.7K · 24h volume $914 · Liquidity $89.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Helen Zille ■ Frank Chikane ■ Loyiso Masuku · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Helen Zille at 69%, followed by Frank Chikane at 16.5%, Loyiso Masuku at 8.0%. The market has $116.7K in total volume and $914 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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