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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 30, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ilse Aigner at 93%, followed by Karin Prien at 4.0%, Julia Klöckner at 3.8%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $5.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilse Aigner | 93% | +31.5 pts | $10.1K |
| Karin Prien | 4.0% | -12.6 pts | $5.0K |
| Julia Klöckner | 3.8% | -13.2 pts | $2.2K |
| Udo Di Fabio | 0.8% | -1.0 pts | $735 |
| Boris Rhein | 0.7% | -2.1 pts | $1.1K |
| Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer | 0.5% | -3.0 pts | $597 |
| Angela Merkel | 0.1% | -7.6 pts | $826 |
Total volume $20.6K · 24h volume $5.9K · Liquidity $67.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ilse Aigner ■ Karin Prien ■ Julia Klöckner · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Germany odds · Politics odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ilse Aigner at 93%, followed by Karin Prien at 4.0%, Julia Klöckner at 3.8%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $5.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 30, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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