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Germany Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 15 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 15 live Germany markets with $11.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next President of Germany? (Ilse Aigner 93.5%), followed by Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? (Elif Eralp 86%), Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? (By December 31, 2027 37.5%).

Germany: the chancellor, the coalition government and elections. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Germany markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Next President of Germany?Ilse Aigner 93.5%+19.0 pts$4.5KJan 30, 2027
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Elif Eralp 86%+3.0 pts$2.3KJun 1, 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?By December 31, 2027 37.5%+0.5 pts$1.9KJan 1, 2027
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?December 16 - 31, 2026 31.5%+6.0 pts$997Jan 1, 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?No Next Chancellor before 2028 66.5%—$807Jan 1, 2028
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?30M+ 78%-0.5 pts$465Jan 1, 2027
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ulrich Siegmund 66.5%—$134Jun 1, 2027
European military action against Iran?By December 31 7.2%+1.6 pts$59Dec 31, 2026
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes 44.5%+1.0 pts$55Jan 1, 2027
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 9.0%—$0Dec 31, 2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?30M+ 89%-1.0 pts$0Dec 1, 2026
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?By December 31 5.5%—$0Dec 31, 2026
IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks?By December 31 12.5%-1.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Bundesliga: Most Assists 2026-27Andrej Ilić 39.9%+6.5 pts$0Jun 15, 2027
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called?By March 31, 2027 30.5%-7.5 pts$0Apr 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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People in these markets

Friedrich Merz

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Germany odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 15 live Germany markets with $11.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next President of Germany? (Ilse Aigner 93.5%), followed by Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? (Elif Eralp 86%), Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? (By December 31, 2027 37.5%).

How many Germany markets are open on Polymarket?

15 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “Germany odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/germany/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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