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Germany Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 22 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live Germany markets with $88.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? (By December 31, 2026 12.5%), followed by Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? (Ulrich Siegmund 41.5%), Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? (Elif Eralp 66.5%).

Germany: the chancellor, the coalition government and elections. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Germany markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?By December 31, 2026 12.5%-2.0 pts$55.1KJan 1, 2027
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ulrich Siegmund 41.5%-5.0 pts$13.4KJun 1, 2027
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Elif Eralp 66.5%-10.5 pts$9.1KJun 1, 2027
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?No return before November 1, 2026 72.5%+16.0 pts$3.8KNov 1, 2026
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?Grüne 95.5%-0.1 pts$2.0KJan 1, 2027
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Yes 30.5%—$1.0KJan 1, 2027
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?AfD 40%-2.5 pts$900Jan 1, 2027
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes 38.5%-6.5 pts$822Jan 1, 2027
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?By October 31 14.9%+4.0 pts$758Dec 31, 2026
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Linke 96.5%+0.1 pts$696Jan 1, 2027
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 14.5%-1.0 pts$233Dec 31, 2026
Osnabrück Mayoral Election WinnerKatharina Pötter 94.4%-2.6 pts$203May 1, 2027
Braunschweig Mayoral Election WinnerThorsten Kornblum 96.1%+0.1 pts$196May 1, 2027
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?1.3%+ 32.5%-1.5 pts$191Oct 30, 2026
Hannover Mayoral Election WinnerBelit Onay 94.7%+0.2 pts$158May 1, 2027
Bundesliga: Most Assists 2026-27Michael Olise 43.5%-32.0 pts$73Jun 15, 2027
Oldenburg Mayoral Election WinnerUlf Prange 71.5%+6.5 pts$28May 1, 2027
Hannover Region Presidential Election WinnerEva Bender 94%+5.5 pts$17May 1, 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?No Next Chancellor before 2028 45.5%+0.5 pts$12Jan 1, 2028
European military action against Iran?By December 31 7.5%—$0Dec 31, 2026
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Manuela Schwesig 98%+0.1 pts$0Jun 1, 2027
Salzgitter Mayoral Election WinnerFrank Klingebiel 98.4%-0.1 pts$0May 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Germany odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live Germany markets with $88.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany? (By December 31, 2026 12.5%), followed by Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? (Ulrich Siegmund 41.5%), Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? (Elif Eralp 66.5%).

How many Germany markets are open on Polymarket?

22 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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/api/v1/topics/germany.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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