Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 1, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jordan Bardella at 95%, followed by Marine Le Pen at 2.9%, David Rachline at 1.9%. The market has $23.9K in total volume and $4.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bardella | 95% | +3.7 pts | $14.7K |
| Marine Le Pen | 2.9% | -0.9 pts | $1.7K |
| David Rachline | 1.9% | -0.9 pts | $1.3K |
| Hélène Laporte | 1.9% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K |
| Louis Aliot | 0.8% | — | $1.5K |
| Sébastien Chenu | 0.7% | — | $1.1K |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K |
Total volume $23.9K · 24h volume $4.5K · Liquidity $275.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jordan Bardella ■ Marine Le Pen ■ David Rachline · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.
If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · France odds · Politics odds
As of October 1, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jordan Bardella at 95%, followed by Marine Le Pen at 2.9%, David Rachline at 1.9%. The market has $23.9K in total volume and $4.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next President of the National Rally in 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026/">Next President of the National Rally in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Next President of the National Rally in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, October 1, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026.svg" alt="Next President of the National Rally in 2026? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog