HomeOddsEventsBlogToolsAPI

Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections

France Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 13, 2026 · 29 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of October 13, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 29 live France markets with $526.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next French Presidential Election (Marine Le Pen 41.9%), followed by Highest temperature in Paris on October 13? (23°C 42.5%), Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? (Marine Le Pen 89%).

France: elections, the government, the prime minister and the presidency. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live France markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 41.9%+1.9 pts$465.5KApr 19, 2027
Highest temperature in Paris on October 13?23°C 42.5%+10.5 pts$21.4KOct 13, 2026
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Marine Le Pen 89%—$9.3KApr 19, 2027
Highest temperature in Paris on October 14?20°C 46.5%—$7.0KOct 14, 2026
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon 93.9%+0.1 pts$5.3KJul 1, 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceJean-Luc Mélenchon 49.5%—$3.7KApr 18, 2027
French Presidential Election First Round WinnerMarine Le Pen 81.5%—$3.7KApr 18, 2027
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?Bernard Cazeneuve 47.5%+11.5 pts$2.6KApr 18, 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceJean-Luc Mélenchon 34%—$2.6KApr 18, 2027
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 13?13°C 36%+1.5 pts$1.2KOct 13, 2026
Macron out?By December 31, 2026 4.0%+1.1 pts$784Jan 1, 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?30M+ 96.4%-0.1 pts$740Nov 1, 2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?30M+ 91%-0.5 pts$558Dec 1, 2026
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes 52.5%+9.0 pts$490Dec 31, 2026
Moody's or S&P downgrades France?By November 30 77%-6.5 pts$337Dec 1, 2026
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 85.5%+6.0 pts$307Apr 18, 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?30M+ 85.5%—$203Jan 1, 2027
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Knafo 16.5%-7.0 pts$200Apr 18, 2027
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 14?10°C 34%—$146Oct 14, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally?By March 31 8.5%—$137Apr 1, 2027
IEA asks France to release oil stocks?By December 31 47.5%+3.0 pts$76Jan 1, 2027
European military action against Iran?By December 31 5.5%—$23Dec 31, 2026
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?Jordan Bardella 96.4%-0.1 pts$21Jan 1, 2027
French election called?By December 31, 2026 4.7%-0.4 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen?By December 31 4.4%-0.2 pts$0Dec 31, 2026
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM?By April 17, 2027 31.4%-2.1 pts$0Apr 17, 2027
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly?By October 31 4.1%+1.1 pts$0Nov 1, 2026
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Yes 9.5%—$0Apr 18, 2027
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?Yes 3.8%-0.2 pts$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big France markets move — free Telegram watchlist

People in these markets

Ségolène Royal · Mathilde Panot · Olivier Faure · François Asselineau · Xavier Bertrand · François Bayrou · Yaël Braun-Pivet · Élisabeth Borne · Michel Barnier · Manuel Bompard · Clémentine Autain · Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · David Lisnard · François Ruffin · Carole Delga

More Politics & Elections odds

Trump (113) · 2028 Presidential Election (99) · 2026 Midterms (316) · Senate Races (151) · Governor Races (97) · House Races (100) · Supreme Court (34) · World Elections (169) · Brazil (61) · Germany (17) · United Kingdom (19) · Canada (96) · Mexico (65) · Politics (96)

Frequently asked questions

What are the France odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 13, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 29 live France markets with $526.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next French Presidential Election (Marine Le Pen 41.9%), followed by Highest temperature in Paris on October 13? (23°C 42.5%), Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? (Marine Le Pen 89%).

How many France markets are open on Polymarket?

29 live markets as of October 13, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

Embed France odds

Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded France markets and updates twice a day.

<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/france/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="France odds on Polymarket"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/">France odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/france.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

Image badge

Markdown for READMEs and newsletters:

[![France odds odds on Polymarket](https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/topic/france.svg)](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/)

Cite this page

Polymarket View, “France odds on Polymarket”, October 13, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/france/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog