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Updated October 17, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of October 17, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alina Habba at 21.9%, followed by Lara Trump at 21.8%, Kari Lake at 20.5%. The market has $26.0K in total volume and $26.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alina Habba | 21.9% | — | $60 |
| Lara Trump | 21.8% | — | $60 |
| Kari Lake | 20.5% | — | $60 |
| Lauren Bis | 20% | — | $60 |
| Harrison Fields | 20% | — | $60 |
| Tricia McLaughlin | 19.8% | — | $60 |
| Monica Crowley | 19.8% | — | $60 |
| Kush Desai | 19.5% | — | $60 |
| Katie Pavlich | 19.1% | — | $60 |
| Ari Fleischer | 19.1% | — | $60 |
| Hogan Gidley | 18.9% | — | $60 |
| Kaelan Dorr | 18.5% | — | $60 |
| Laura Loomer | 18.5% | — | $2 |
| Kayleigh McEnany | 18.2% | — | $60 |
| Pat Adams | 17.9% | — | $60 |
16 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $26.0K · 24h volume $26.0K · Liquidity $212.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alina Habba ■ Lara Trump ■ Kari Lake · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · 2028 Presidential Election odds · Politics odds
As of October 17, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alina Habba at 21.9%, followed by Lara Trump at 21.8%, Kari Lake at 20.5%. The market has $26.0K in total volume and $26.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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