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Updated September 30, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 31, 2027
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri at 96%, followed by Mohamed Ouzzine at 1.2%, Nizar Baraka at 1.1%. The market has $30.6K in total volume and $12.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri | 96% | +27.7 pts | $16.6K |
| Mohamed Ouzzine | 1.2% | -1.7 pts | $1.6K |
| Nizar Baraka | 1.1% | -2.1 pts | $1.9K |
| Mohamed Chaouki | 0.6% | -6.4 pts | $3.4K |
| Abdelilah Benkirane | 0.4% | -11.0 pts | $1.8K |
| Aziz Akhannouch | 0.2% | -2.5 pts | $1.6K |
| Mustapha Benali | 0.2% | -2.1 pts | $1.4K |
| Driss Lachgar | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $750 |
| Mohamed Joudar | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $557 |
| Nabil Benabdallah | <0.1% | — | $517 |
| Abdessamad Archane | <0.1% | — | $396 |
Total volume $30.6K · 24h volume $12.9K · Liquidity $124.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri ■ Mohamed Ouzzine ■ Nizar Baraka · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister (Head of Government) of Morocco, and whose government wins investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence, following the 2026 Moroccan legislative elections.
To count for resolution, the government led by the individual must win investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or non-invested Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri at 96%, followed by Mohamed Ouzzine at 1.2%, Nizar Baraka at 1.1%. The market has $30.6K in total volume and $12.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 31, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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