Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: April 1, 2028
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 78.5%, followed by Pedro Sánchez at 14.4%, Santiago Abascal at 5.0%. The market has $135.8K in total volume and $4.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 78.5% | — | $29.5K |
| Pedro Sánchez | 14.4% | +0.1 pts | $21.4K |
| Santiago Abascal | 5.0% | — | $14.2K |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | 2.1% | -0.4 pts | $7.8K |
| Yolanda Díaz | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $8.6K |
| Carlos Cuerpo | 0.2% | — | $3.8K |
| Óscar Puente | 0.2% | — | $3.5K |
| Carles Puigdemont | 0.1% | — | $6.9K |
| Ester Muñoz | 0.1% | — | $5.7K |
| Miguel Tellado | 0.1% | — | $5.6K |
| Cuca Gamarra | 0.1% | — | $5.2K |
| María Jesús Montero | 0.1% | — | $5.1K |
| Aitor Esteban | 0.1% | — | $5.0K |
| Pepa Millán | 0.1% | — | $4.6K |
| Ernest Urtasun | 0.1% | — | $4.6K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $135.8K · 24h volume $4.0K · Liquidity $327.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alberto Núñez Feijóo ■ Pedro Sánchez ■ Santiago Abascal · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 78.5%, followed by Pedro Sánchez at 14.4%, Santiago Abascal at 5.0%. The market has $135.8K in total volume and $4.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next Prime Minister of Spain? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain/">Next Prime Minister of Spain? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Next Prime Minister of Spain? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/next-prime-minister-of-spain.svg" alt="Next Prime Minister of Spain? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog