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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 27, 2026
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Erwin Wiens at 56%, followed by Andrea Kaiser at 30.5%, Vaughn Goettler at 10.4%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $884 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erwin Wiens | 56% | -0.5 pts | $13.7K |
| Andrea Kaiser | 30.5% | — | $6.4K |
| Vaughn Goettler | 10.4% | +4.3 pts | $205 |
Total volume $20.3K · 24h volume $884 · Liquidity $34.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Erwin Wiens ■ Andrea Kaiser ■ Vaughn Goettler · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Erwin Wiens at 56%, followed by Andrea Kaiser at 30.5%, Vaughn Goettler at 10.4%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $884 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 27, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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