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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: November 30, 2026
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $150 at 89.5%, followed by $160 at 83%, $170 at 75.5%. The market has $76.1K in total volume and $70.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $150 | 89.5% | +2.1 pts | $2.2K |
| $160 | 83% | +3.0 pts | $2.8K |
| $170 | 75.5% | +5.0 pts | $3.1K |
| $180 | 67.5% | +11.5 pts | $2.4K |
| $190 | 40.5% | -2.5 pts | $7.8K |
| $200 | 30.5% | +1.0 pts | $21.9K |
| $210 | 20% | -0.5 pts | $29.8K |
| $220 | 13% | +0.5 pts | $5.9K |
| $230 | 9.5% | +0.5 pts | $100 |
Total volume $76.1K · 24h volume $70.6K · Liquidity $103.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $150 ■ $160 ■ $170 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Stocks & Earnings odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $150 at 89.5%, followed by $160 at 83%, $170 at 75.5%. The market has $76.1K in total volume and $70.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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