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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: May 1, 2027
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jascha Rohr at 99.9%+, followed by Ulf Prange at <0.1%. The market has $26.9K in total volume and $3.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jascha Rohr | 99.9%+ | +70.5 pts | $8.7K |
| Ulf Prange | <0.1% | -65.5 pts | $11.6K |
| Ralf Butzin (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
| Michael Stille (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.1K |
| Byanca Küßner (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.1K |
| Sebastian Fröhlich (settled) | 0.0% | — | $971 |
| Heike Boldt (settled) | 0.0% | — | $881 |
| Holger Martin Wilkens (settled) | 0.0% | — | $712 |
| Yakup Castur (settled) | 0.0% | — | $517 |
| Other (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
| Person A (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
| Person B (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
| Person C (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
| Person D (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
| Person E (settled) | 0.0% | — | — |
9 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $26.9K · 24h volume $3.7K · Liquidity $44.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jascha Rohr ■ Ulf Prange · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Germany odds · Politics odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jascha Rohr at 99.9%+, followed by Ulf Prange at <0.1%. The market has $26.9K in total volume and $3.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is May 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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