Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Helder at 85%, followed by Delegado Éder Mauro at 12.2%, Chicão at 4.2%. The market has $22.4K in total volume and $3.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helder | 85% | +6.5 pts | $16.4K |
| Delegado Éder Mauro | 12.2% | -0.1 pts | $747 |
| Chicão | 4.2% | +3.5 pts | $671 |
| Zequinha Marinho | 3.0% | -0.4 pts | $594 |
| Edlaine Rodrigues | 2.4% | +0.2 pts | $624 |
| Gizelle Freitas | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $582 |
| Conti | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $571 |
| Fernanda Lopes | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $746 |
| Celso Sabino | 0.6% | — | $519 |
| Breno Guimarães | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $553 |
| Willem da Silva | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $456 |
Total volume $22.4K · 24h volume $3.3K · Liquidity $104.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Helder ■ Delegado Éder Mauro ■ Chicão · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Brazil odds · Politics odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Helder at 85%, followed by Delegado Éder Mauro at 12.2%, Chicão at 4.2%. The market has $22.4K in total volume and $3.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pará Senate Election: 1st Place odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place/">Pará Senate Election: 1st Place odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Pará Senate Election: 1st Place — Polymarket odds”, September 28, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/para-senate-election-1st-place.svg" alt="Pará Senate Election: 1st Place odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog