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Brazil Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 26 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 26 live Brazil markets with $17.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? (Yes 19.5%), followed by Brazil presidential election annulled? (Yes 2.5%), Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? (<-0.3% 42.6%).

Brazil: the 2026 presidential election and the country's politics and economy. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

🇧🇷 Eleição presidencial 2026: probabilidades em português · Eleição para governador do RJ em português · Governador do CE em português · Governador da BA em português · Senadores por SP em português · Brazil election guide

🗳 October 25 runoffs in Portuguese: presidential margin of victory · governor of Acre · Amazonas · Distrito Federal · Espírito Santo · Rio Grande do Norte · Tocantins

🇪🇸 Versión en español · 🇧🇷 Versão em português

Live Brazil markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes 19.5%-8.5 pts$5.8KJan 1, 2027
Brazil presidential election annulled?Yes 2.5%+0.1 pts$4.4KJan 1, 2027
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?<-0.3% 42.6%-5.1 pts$3.0KDec 2, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil?By December 31, 2027 49%+24.0 pts$1.7KApr 1, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?Wellington César Lima e Silva 25%—$1.2KMar 1, 2027
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 7.1%+3.4 pts$481Jan 1, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?Dario Durigan 36%+11.5 pts$289Mar 1, 2027
Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes 68%-4.5 pts$243Nov 16, 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 20265.00-5.49% 48.1%+2.0 pts$171Jan 13, 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in December?No Change 88.5%-0.5 pts$171Dec 9, 2026
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?Yes 25%-12.0 pts$142Jan 1, 2027
Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?↑5.75 44%+4.5 pts$84Jan 1, 2027
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax?By June 30, 2028 28.5%—$40Jul 1, 2028
Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?Camilo Santana 58.5%+6.0 pts$37Mar 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil Decision in January?No Change 58%—$30Jan 27, 2027
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister?By December 31 80.7%-7.8 pts$18Jan 1, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?Mauro Vieira 34%+1.0 pts$10Mar 1, 2027
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?Yes 2.9%—$5Jan 1, 2027
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 3.8%+0.3 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Yes 23%-14.0 pts$0Apr 1, 2027
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?Under 5% 36%-2.0 pts$0May 1, 2027
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?No Change 57.5%-2.0 pts$0Mar 17, 2027
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?Yes 8.5%—$0Apr 1, 2027
Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?Rui Costa 34.1%+0.7 pts$0Mar 1, 2027
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?Yes 30%—$0Jan 16, 2027
Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%-3.0 pts$0Feb 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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More Politics & Elections odds

Trump (117) · 2028 Presidential Election (45) · 2026 Midterms (3) · Senate Races (18) · Governor Races (0) · House Races (0) · Supreme Court (45) · World Elections (128) · France (37) · Germany (15) · United Kingdom (23) · Canada (38) · Mexico (62) · Politics (78)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Brazil odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 26 live Brazil markets with $17.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? (Yes 19.5%), followed by Brazil presidential election annulled? (Yes 2.5%), Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? (<-0.3% 42.6%).

How many Brazil markets are open on Polymarket?

26 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “Brazil odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/brazil/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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