Home › Polymarket odds › Economy & Fed
Updated October 8, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 16, 2026
As of October 8, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 5.9%+ at 37.5%, followed by 5.7% at 20%, 5.6% at 12.5%. The market has $24.7K in total volume and $8.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9%+ | 37.5% | +11.0 pts | $11.2K |
| 5.7% | 20% | +0.5 pts | $4.3K |
| 5.6% | 12.5% | +2.0 pts | $1.9K |
| ≤5.0% | 9.2% | +1.5 pts | $489 |
| 5.4% | 8.2% | -0.8 pts | $687 |
| 5.5% | 5.7% | +0.1 pts | $681 |
| 5.8% | 5.5% | -11.0 pts | $4.0K |
| 5.2% | 4.9% | — | $421 |
| 5.3% | 4.4% | — | $573 |
| 5.1% | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $461 |
Total volume $24.7K · 24h volume $8.7K · Liquidity $2.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 5.9%+ ■ 5.7% ■ 5.6% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of October 8, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 5.9%+ at 37.5%, followed by 5.7% at 20%, 5.6% at 12.5%. The market has $24.7K in total volume and $8.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 16, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="PPI YoY - September 2026 odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026/">PPI YoY - September 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “PPI YoY - September 2026 — Polymarket odds”, October 8, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/ppi-yoy-september-2026.svg" alt="PPI YoY - September 2026 odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog